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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1379–1984, n=3363) | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 65% (882–468, n=1350) |
| Consensus PnL | $650K | $11.2M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #143 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (170 of 299 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −5 pts, n=106 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 3627 at avg 66¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 7% of 1043) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 177) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 67% of 176) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 97% of 2231) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $581 | Yes $33K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.9K | Yes $14K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $707 | Yes $9.2K | — |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | — | Yes $63K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $884 | No $12K | — |