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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackMamba08BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)45% (99–120, n=219)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$11K$7.7M$4.1M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #880PM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus32% (12 of 37 open)88% (29 of 33 open)72% (68 of 94 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won39% of 54 at avg 23¢, ROI +11%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢63% (won 21% of 34)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 67% of 12)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 67% of 6)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackMamba08BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $38—No $1.4K—
Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11—No $868—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6—Yes $686—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $362—No $280—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3—Over $523—
Will Estoril Praia vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $284—
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
FK Polissia $7—FK Kolos Kovalivka $217—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $63—Under $145—
Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $133—
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $130—