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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpHaradwaithprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (553–663, n=1216)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)48% (2442–2604, n=5046)50% (1076–1085, n=2161)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M-$460K$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #256PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus56% (18 of 32 open)71% (189 of 266 open)77% (378 of 493 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)—41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)—49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)—5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpHaradwaithprimm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407K—Yes $378—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17K—No $825—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $16K—No $1.1K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $17K—Yes $436—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12K—No $373—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $70—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $63—