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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpSilentShark
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)58% (150–110, n=260)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #876
Sides with the consensus77% (37 of 48 open)76% (233 of 305 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpSilentShark
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
—Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1KWoking FC $690
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $845Over $92
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596Yes $18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $632KNo $64K—
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $50KGiants $735—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $367Under $316