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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpifyoulovemeprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)57% (355–269, n=624)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$66K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #302PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus89% (34 of 38 open)74% (242 of 329 open)77% (54 of 70 open)69% (11 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=87—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%53% of 572 at avg 48¢, ROI +6%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)37% (won 15% of 211)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 55% of 94)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)16% (won 65% of 92)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)31% (won 93% of 175)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpifyoulovemeprimm
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $32K—Yes $1.6K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $165—Lions $14K
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $670Yes $305—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $110K——Colts $5.1K