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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmpvc975
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)99% (17468–257, n=17725)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$3.6M$121K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #48was PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus78% (28 of 36 open)73% (105 of 144 open)53% (10 of 19 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Crypto ±0 pts, n=293
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%99% of 11164 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)1% (won 10% of 78)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)0% (won 83% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)0% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)99% (won 100% of 11066)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmpvc975
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292KJaguars $305——
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5KHeat $79——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $137Florida Atlantic $42K—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1K—Ravens $510—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $65—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Ravens $4—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $21Southern Miss $47—