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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGaoJin-GamblingGodndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)49% (522–535, n=1057)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$34K$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #847PM monthly #114PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus73% (43 of 59 open)no open consensus position72% (71 of 98 open)54% (21 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%75% of 673 at avg 50¢, ROI +18%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)7% (won 40% of 45)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)45% (won 71% of 305)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)42% (won 81% of 281)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)6% (won 90% of 42)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGaoJin-GamblingGodndb1primm
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208K——Over $6.8K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $190K——Eagles $5.6K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Eagles $131
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $3.4K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K——Colts $94
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49K——Colts $5.7K