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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankHaradwaithprimm
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)41% (3263–4725, n=7988)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$11.2M-$460K$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #256PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)71% (543 of 760 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topic—Weather −6 pts, n=556—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)53% (won 3% of 2055)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)4% (won 35% of 170)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)5% (won 54% of 178)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 89% of 1442)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankHaradwaithprimm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $765KYes $344—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $17KNo $1.1K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22KYes $70—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $63—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0KNo $176—