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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 41% (3261–4724, n=7985) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 50% (19560–19625, n=39185) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | -$460K | $3.5M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #258 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 76% (495 of 648 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (100 of 143 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | — | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | — | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | — | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | — | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | — | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $765K | Yes $344 | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | No $1.1K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16K | No $827 | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $15K | Yes $431 | — | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $22K | Yes $70 | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $63 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | No $176 | — | — |