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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 40% (3392–5151, n=8543) | 63% (987–572, n=1559) | 50% (1106–1119, n=2225) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$465K | $3.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #281 | PM monthly #102 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (27 of 34 open) | 69% (620 of 903 open) | 75% (100 of 134 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.