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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 40% (3385–5154, n=8539) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | -$465K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #279 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 70% (378 of 540 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.