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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Michael-The-Taxiarch | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 58% (57–41, n=98) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) | 50% (26156–25782, n=51938) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $47K | $3.6M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #528 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (40 of 50 open) | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 65% (39 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 98 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 45% (won 7% of 44) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 12% (won 50% of 12) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 10% (won 70% of 10) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 97% of 32) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Michael-The-Taxiarch | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $219K | — | Over $10K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $179K | — | Eagles $736 | — |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $107K | — | Eagles $73 | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | Colts $114K | — | Colts $5.1K | — |