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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)57% (1092–818, n=1910)50% (15489–15567, n=31056)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$87K$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #720PM monthly #60PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)no open consensus position60% (101 of 168 open)63% (20 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 12% of 428)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 37% of 155)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)14% (won 75% of 214)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)47% (won 97% of 694)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankclaudionetotraderomnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $157—
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $95Tom Gentzsch $29
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
——Philip Henning $2Carlo Alberto Caniato $74
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23K—Yes $122—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K—Yes $223—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
——Anastasia Zakharova $247Anastasia Zakharova $13K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4K—Yes $65—
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
——Otto Virtanen $201Otto Virtanen $1.8K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—