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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | crckr | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 26% (824–2325, n=3149) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $43K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #935 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | 91% (402 of 440 open) | 72% (108 of 149 open) | 56% (15 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −4 pts, n=154 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 22% of 1371 at avg 19¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 77% (won 9% of 1056) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 9% (won 43% of 127) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 8% (won 65% of 109) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 6% (won 91% of 79) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.