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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1plusti
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)63% (1095–632, n=1727)55% (17–14, n=31)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.6M$11K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #114was PM monthly #883
Sides with the consensus73% (43 of 59 open)60% (55 of 92 open)72% (71 of 98 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)27% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)73% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1plusti
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $19K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $33K——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KCowboys $20K——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $53——
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13KCommanders $19K——
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21KJets $8.3K——
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11KEagles $1.5K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37KGiants $8.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18KChiefs $248——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $4.9KBulls $11K——