Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)45% (10–12, n=22)65% (4199–2222, n=6421)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #995PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position61% (67 of 110 open)51% (21 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 100% of 43)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 156)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 310)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 703)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677Pan9XRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $67No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $53Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $105Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $18Over $9
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $89No $9.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $60Under $1.3K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
——Zsombor Piros $20Zsombor Piros $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $112No $529
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $52Over $360
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $53Over $248
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $18Kings $124
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $81Yes $7
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $48Under $9
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $30Over $20