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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15364–15431, n=30795)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$5.3M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #58PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus85% (29 of 34 open)no open consensus position55% (65 of 119 open)52% (14 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
——Tommy Paul $23Quentin Halys $1.3K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $154—
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
opposite sides · consensus Harold Mayot
——Sho Shimabukuro $16Harold Mayot $123
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278K—Yes $3—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3K—Yes $64—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $580—Yes $33—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—