← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lug | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 55% (1904–1563, n=3467) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $98K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #876 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (74 of 114 open) | 69% (29 of 42 open) | 60% (122 of 203 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | MLB −4 pts, n=166 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 55% of 3694 at avg 53¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 16% of 362) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 32% (won 46% of 1195) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 39% (won 57% of 1426) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 19% (won 84% of 711) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lug | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $34K | Yes $5.0K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $34K | No $4.4K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $287K | Yes $6.4K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $183K | Yes $535 | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $64K | Yes $780 | — | — |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | No $10K | — | No $48K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $42K | Yes $420 | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | Yes $6.5K | — | — |