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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankmorito181RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)69% (532–242, n=774)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$1.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #117 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (12 of 22 open)81% (151 of 186 open)67% (159 of 237 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Mentions −13 pts, n=20—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)22% (won 6% of 202)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)5% (won 43% of 49)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)6% (won 53% of 55)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)67% (won 96% of 612)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankmorito181RN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $440KYes $21K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $63K—Yes $20K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.2K—Yes $96