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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | pIebe | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7654–6941, n=14595) | 71% (762–310, n=1072) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.1M | $1.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #180 + pinned | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (34 of 38 open) | 76% (258 of 341 open) | 79% (131 of 165 open) | 52% (82 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 47% of 55) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 6% (won 52% of 56) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 67% (won 96% of 629) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
64 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | pIebe | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | Yes $59K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $32K | — | Yes $22K | — |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $111 | Yes $31K | — |
| Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $670 | Yes $19K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | No $233 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $9.3K | — | Yes $3.2K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $10K | — | Yes $284 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | — | Yes $3.4K |
| Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $208 | Yes $7.9K | — |
| Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $7.0K | — | Real Sociedad de Fútbol $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $324 | — | No $5.7K |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.8K | — | Yes $1 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo | — | Juan Manuel Cerundolo $4.1K | — | Elias Ymer $210 |
| Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.9K | — | Yes $128 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $845 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AIK | — | AIK $3.5K | — | BK Hacken $123 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.8K | — | Under $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.0K | — | No $336 |
| Kalmar FF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.9K | — | Under $267 |
| Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $201 | Yes $1.8K | — |
| Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | — | Yes $4 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.0K | — | Over $407 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $23 |
| CD Santa Clara vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $556 | — | Over $668 |
| Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $5 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| AZ vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $6 |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.0K | — | Under $29 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais opposite sides · consensus Emile Hudd | — | Emile Hudd $270 | — | Justin Boulais $614 |
| Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 2 PSV? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $438 | — | Yes $2 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $19 | — | Yes $82 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $24 | — | Yes $46 |
| Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $54 | — | Over $1 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $632K | No $54K | — | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $84K | — | Yes $20K |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $50K | — | No $4.8K |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $24K | — | No $17K |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $29K | — | No $8.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $29K | — | No $6.0K |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $27K | — | Under $7.0K |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $23K | — | No $7.0K |
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) same side · consensus Como 1907 | — | FC Internazionale Milano $5.7K | — | FC Internazionale Milano $14K |
| CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $10K | — | Under $8.6K |