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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | pIebe | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6403–5995, n=12398) | 70% (713–305, n=1018) | 48% (14153–15617, n=29770) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.6M | $1.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #194 + pinned | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (236 of 314 open) | 80% (133 of 167 open) | 53% (77 of 146 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 71% of 941 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 48% of 54) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 67% (won 96% of 628) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
56 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | pIebe | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $35K | — | Yes $22K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | No $199 | — |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $222 | Yes $20K | — |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $16K | — | Yes $49 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $10K | — | Over $5 |
| Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $208 | Yes $6.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.8K | — | Over $3 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $3 |
| Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.6K | — | No $877 |
| Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $19 |
| Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $195 | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $750 | Yes $1.6K | — |
| FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.1K | — | Over $20 |
| Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $262 | Yes $1.8K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | — | Over $12 |
| Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Over $28 |
| VVV Venlo vs. Jong PSV Eindhoven: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Over $1 |
| AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $43 |
| Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | — | Under $9 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | — | No $529 |
| Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $910 | — | Under $1 |
| Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $315 | — | Under $464 |
| US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $48 | — | Over $727 |
| Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $678 | — | Yes $6 |
| Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $211 | — | No $436 |
| Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $430 | — | No $210 |
| SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $599 | — | Over $11 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta | — | Facundo Acosta $558 | — | Marco Cecchinato $9 |
| Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sevilla FC | — | Sevilla FC $496 | — | Deportivo Alavés $2 |
| Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $369 | — | Yes $5 |
| Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Roda JC Kerkrade | — | Roda JC Kerkrade $92 | — | Heracles Almelo $265 |
| Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $234 | Yes $14 | — |
| Dijon Football Côte d'Or vs. Red Star FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $163 | — | Over $42 |
| Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $66 | — | Over $126 |
| Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $185 | Yes $5 | — |
| Will Almere City FC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $103 | — | Yes $41 |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $104 | — | Yes $1 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $31 | — | No $12 |
| Spread: SK Rapid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus SK Rapid | — | Wolfsberger AC $16 | — | SK Rapid $25 |
| Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $17K | — | Yes $14K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | No $26K | — |
| Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Coventry City FC | — | Everton FC $16K | — | Everton FC $995 |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | — | No $3.9K |