← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | donube | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $1.1M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #193 + pinned | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 79% (134 of 169 open) | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 60% (50 of 84 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | donube | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.9K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.1K | — | Ravens $510 | Jaguars $180 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | — | Jaguars $9.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | — | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $72K | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $55K | No $198 | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $11K | Jaguars $6.6K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $5.2K | Jaguars $3.7K |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.0K | Over $1.4K |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | — | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $616 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $890 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $741 | Under $1.5K |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.8K | Over $244 |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $1.1K | UTSA $226 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | — | — | Ravens $3.3K |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic same side · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $42K | Florida Atlantic $19K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | — | — | Warriors $520 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-13.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $765 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | Over $65 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-16.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Ravens $94 | Ravens $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | — | Ravens $636 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss same side · consensus James Madison | — | — | Southern Miss $47 | Southern Miss $498 |