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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | Stone1337 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) | 55% (110–91, n=201) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $4.1M | $14.8M | -$24K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #845 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (83 of 110 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) | 43% (15 of 35 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Esports −3 pts, n=163 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 55% of 198 at avg 56¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 5% (won 33% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 25% (won 40% of 50) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 56% (won 57% of 111) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 14% (won 82% of 28) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.