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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | youcanbuythisbot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 50% (18936–19161, n=38097) | 86% (5187–877, n=6064) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | $3.1M | $25K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #697 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (34 of 51 open) | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 63% (31 of 49 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 7% (won 99% of 2777) | 9% (won 100% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 20% (won 100% of 8217) | 16% (won 100% of 96) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 22% (won 100% of 8818) | 23% (won 99% of 137) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 51% (won 100% of 20793) | 53% (won 100% of 322) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.