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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daaprimm
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (15072–15093, n=30165)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$4.2M$3.0M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #146PM monthly #55PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)74% (35 of 47 open)54% (106 of 196 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daaprimm
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $642KNo $234KYes $1.7K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—No $5.7K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $149—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $69—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—