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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 53% (2583–2302, n=4885) | 49% (20671–21624, n=42295) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.8M | $8.9K | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 73% (62 of 85 open) | 61% (66 of 108 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1044 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 2% (won 96% of 25) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 32% (won 98% of 337) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 51% (won 98% of 533) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 14% (won 97% of 149) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6.4K | Over $3 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $11 | Yes $757 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | — | — | SD Eibar $5 | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $7 | Yes $3 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $280K | Yes $11K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $302 | No $15K |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $62 | Yes $4 |