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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1Vladooos
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)73% (140–52, n=192)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.6M$14.9M-$112K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #47PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #706
Sides with the consensus88% (35 of 40 open)55% (6 of 11 open)57% (34 of 60 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Mentions −2 pts, n=14
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%72% of 191 at avg 73¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)4% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)7% (won 36% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)28% (won 57% of 53)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)61% (won 89% of 116)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1Vladooos
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104KPackers $70KPackers $4.0K—
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294K—Texans $8.5K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $9.4K——
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $85KRaiders $16—
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14KUnder $1.5K——
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KTexans $2.0K——
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $1.6KSeahawks $4.1K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $247Seahawks $3.9K—
Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $803Over $1.8K—
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Packers $143K—Packers $489—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124K—Seahawks $3.9K—