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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | rainbowlilies | RN1 | weflyhigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 41% (3071–4411, n=7482) | 48% (19707–21460, n=41167) | 52% (414–381, n=795) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $149K | $14.9M | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #580 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 79% (186 of 234 open) | 54% (14 of 26 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=576 | — | Entertainment −21 pts, n=12 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 7% of 6535 at avg 5¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 97% (won 5% of 6313) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 3% (won 27% of 26) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 2% (won 37% of 111) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 41% (won 50% of 302) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 1% (won 69% of 68) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 51% (won 58% of 380) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 1% (won 86% of 43) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 5% (won 89% of 37) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | rainbowlilies | RN1 | weflyhigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $76K | No $294 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.4K | Yes $133 | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $125 | — | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $66 | Yes $1 | — | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $56 | Yes $8 | — | — |