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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Burkilota1 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (794–541, n=1335) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) |
| Consensus PnL | $147K | $4.1M | $4.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #467 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #74 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (11 of 33 open) | 67% (126 of 187 open) | 73% (112 of 154 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −1 pts, n=189 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 20% of 610 at avg 16¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 89% (won 15% of 540) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 61% of 67) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 50% of 2) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.