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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Burkilota1Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)59% (794–560, n=1354)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)64% (1101–632, n=1733)47% (1389–1566, n=2955)
Consensus PnL$147K$1.9M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #462PM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus48% (11 of 23 open)72% (94 of 130 open)73% (77 of 105 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +9 pts n=153, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=24, ROI +1%
  • NBA +8 pts n=28, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −1 pts, n=189Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won20% of 610 at avg 16¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢89% (won 15% of 540)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 61% of 67)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 50% of 2)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up0% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBurkilota1Flaznorpndb1primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $26—No $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $40—Yes $12K—
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Woking FC $194Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K——
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5No $651——
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1No $1.1K——
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $61—Yes $571—
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $95—No $6—
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16—Yes $2—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2Yes $4——