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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CannaeRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)52% (5944–5595, n=11539)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$1.2M$13.4M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus61% (28 of 46 open)66% (100 of 152 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +50 pts n=62, ROI +53%
  • NBA +44 pts n=316, ROI +40%
  • NHL +43 pts n=101, ROI +44%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won100% of 8672 at avg 61¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 99% of 778)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 1843)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 2554)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 3497)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCannaeRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.9KNo $15K——
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $79Yes $13K——
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $783Yes $12K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $527No $2.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $274Over $2.4K——
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $318No $1.5K——
Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $423Yes $1.1K——
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $39Yes $861——
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.0KUnder $5.9K——
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $94No $5.6K——
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $1.1K——
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
same side · consensus Toulouse FC
Toulouse FC $87Toulouse FC $1.8K——
Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $27No $802——
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $628No $73——
Will LDU Quito win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $194No $44——
Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $103Yes $25——