← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Car | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (2273–1077, n=3350) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #886 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (103 of 158 open) | 70% (16 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Tech ±0 pts, n=138 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 4258 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 7% of 1265) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 46% of 325) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 67% of 371) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 97% of 2297) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Car | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | — | No $35K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $423 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $46 | — | — | No $590 |