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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dreamwire | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (2735–446, n=3181) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #411 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (12 of 16 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=76 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 2532 at avg 81¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 5% of 325) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 130) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 66% of 154) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 99% of 1923) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dreamwire | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | No $407K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $532 | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $316 | — | — | Over $664 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $92 | Yes $280K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $188K | — | Commanders $3.8K |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $6 | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | Yes $13K | — | — |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | Yes $13K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 36.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $96 | — | — | Over $25 |