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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EuanRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)70% (805–350, n=1155)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$468K$13.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)53% (64 of 120 open)72% (74 of 103 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=151———
Settled positions, side won62% of 1185 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 11% of 366)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 50% of 123)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 59% of 121)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 97% of 575)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEuanRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $28KBills $378K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—