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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmS-WorksZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)75% (2542–853, n=3395)60% (7114–4732, n=11846)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.6M$3.7M$58K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #56PM monthly #75PM monthly #523
Sides with the consensus76% (229 of 300 open)56% (5 of 9 open)50% (1 of 2 open)68% (38 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%98% of 2377 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)7% (won 90% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)20% (won 96% of 481)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)34% (won 98% of 816)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)39% (won 100% of 925)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmS-WorksZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $165Lions $28K——
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $18KYes $146
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $6
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——No $8
Al Sadd SC vs. Al Rayyan SC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5K——Under $108
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $899——Under $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845——Over $9
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.2K——Over $81