Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GingerMcKennaBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)31% (1441–3222, n=4663)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$33K$11.0M$14.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #404PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus78% (107 of 137 open)87% (143 of 164 open)56% (25 of 45 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTech −3 pts, n=296———
Settled positions, side won37% of 2557 at avg 38¢, ROI −2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢59% (won 2% of 1513)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 28% of 98)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 76% of 105)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 97% of 841)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGingerMcKennaBreakTheBankRN1primm
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10No $8.8K——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $79Yes $13K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13Yes $2.6K——
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9Yes $1.8K——
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $1.8K——
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $374——
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $273——