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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HRTrading00gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (2951–2450, n=5401)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$11K$3.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (68 of 136 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)60% (27 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=54, ROI +51%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=273, ROI +35%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=28, ROI +25%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 28)0%10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 77)0%36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 99% of 97)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 176)0%20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHRTrading00gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $3—Magic $13KMagic $161
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $2—Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $115—Magic $76K—
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $73——Under $9.2K
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Dylan Dietrich $1——Liam Draxl $5.2K
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris
Jangjun Kim $4——Ozan Baris $4.0K
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $35——No $2.2K
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1——Over $768
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2——Over $207
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138——Felipe de Dios $1
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13——Yes $102
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $32——Under $30
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Valentin Garay $5——Nicolas Bruna $17
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21——Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $55——No $3.3K
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $103——Under $954
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Ryan Seggerman $13——Ryan Seggerman $294
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $64——Under $213
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $23——Under $228
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6——No $227
Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3——No $71
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1——Over $20
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $8——Celtics $3
Cerro Porteno vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1——Under $9