← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | RN1 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (82 of 175 open) | 63% (20 of 32 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | RN1 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $117 | Under $9.2K | — | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $3 | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $46 | No $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $21 | Magic $161 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138 | Felipe de Dios $1 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Valentin Garay $2 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | No $3.3K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $117 | Under $954 | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $13 | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $82 | Under $213 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $66 | Under $228 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2 | Magic $228 | — | — |
| Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $9 | No $71 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Magic $20 | Magic $10 | — | — |
| Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1 | Over $20 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Magic | Celtics $8 | Celtics $3 | — | — |