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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Haradwaithjoseph00677omnibus-076daaprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (3261–4724, n=7985)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL-$460K$5.6M$3.0M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #253PM monthly #1PM monthly #55PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus76% (496 of 649 open)no open consensus position57% (102 of 180 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHaradwaithjoseph00677omnibus-076daaprimm
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $827—Yes $1.6K—
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $246—Yes $117—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $176—Yes $149—
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14—Yes $9—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $431—Yes $2.1K—
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $276—Yes $5—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $63—Yes $215—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70—Yes $117—
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $181—Yes $5—
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $115—Yes $5—