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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Herdonia | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (982–109, n=1091) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #496 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (29 of 54 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 17) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 99% of 353) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 497) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 98) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $6.9K | — | — | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $11 | — | — | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $2.0K | — | — | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $13K | — | — | Browns $297K |
| Browns vs. Steelers same side · consensus Steelers | Browns $1.1K | — | — | Browns $255K |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $650 | — | — | Raiders $171K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $9.3K | — | — | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $435 | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K |