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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HorribleWork | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (433–235, n=668) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$238K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 6% (1 of 17 open) | 79% (53 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Economy −6 pts, n=36 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 615 at avg 67¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 15% of 163) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 36% of 39) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 71% of 35) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 61% (won 98% of 378) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HorribleWork | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $55K | No $411K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14K | No $253K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16 | No $40K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | Yes $274K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $320 | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | Yes $38K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $662 | No $35K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $110 | Yes $28K | — |