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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ImJustKen | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 28% (418–1099, n=1517) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.3M | $4.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #800 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (167 of 248 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 38% of 1655 at avg 33¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 62% (won 6% of 1022) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 63% of 95) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 80% of 81) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 457) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ImJustKen | CORGII | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $297 | — | Yes $270K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $127 | — | No $112K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $132 | — | Yes $81K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $263 | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $311 | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $293 | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $54 | — | No $26K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14 | — | Yes $15K | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | — | Yes $164 | — |