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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JAMJAMJAM4RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)80% (3489–863, n=4352)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$89K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #448PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus55% (6 of 11 open)57% (88 of 154 open)72% (79 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 3386 at avg 60¢, ROI +38%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 92% of 104)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 99% of 861)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 100% of 1423)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 998)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJAMJAMJAM4RN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $6.0KBrowns $255K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $996—Yes $169K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $109Raiders $17K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $2.1KTitans $14—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.4K—No $590
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $22KBills $378K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $20K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0KOver $440—