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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JSG3BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)57% (16–12, n=28)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$44K$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #475PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus83% (15 of 18 open)73% (79 of 108 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +19 pts n=13, ROI +15%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won61% of 28 at avg 58¢, ROI +11%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 8)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 70% of 10)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 63% of 8)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJSG3BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $57KNo $184K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $109KYes $77K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $24KYes $37K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7KNo $35K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6KNo $590—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6KYes $272K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $313No $40K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $38Yes $14K—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $8.6KNo $747—
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.9KYes $2.2K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10Yes $41—