← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JoeBlack01 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (298–207, n=505) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $77K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (23 of 32 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=49 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 620 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 12% of 142) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 47% of 81) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 78% of 89) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 97% of 308) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JoeBlack01 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $950 | No $184K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.3K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | No $22K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.2K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |