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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JsramBreakTheBankRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)55% (114–92, n=206)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$2.3M$10.6M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #29PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (79 of 109 open)58% (86 of 148 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won62% of 240 at avg 55¢, ROI +7%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 6% of 17)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 52% of 56)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 68% of 130)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 84% of 37)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJsramBreakTheBankRN1beachboy4
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $6.0K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $109—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378KBills $22K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $1.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—