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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| Lilybaeum | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (5630–4163, n=9793) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 30% (3 of 10 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 64% (94 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.5K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $192 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $11K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $400 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $30 | — | Yes $861 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $2.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $714 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $643 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $676 | — | No $15K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $188 | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $102 | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $31 | — | Over $857 |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $172 | — | No $73 |