← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (5630–4163, n=9793) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 54% (65 of 120 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite | Andre Souza $12 | — | Wilson Leite $12K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $647 | Bills $4.5K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $2.1K |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | — | No $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.2K | Over $8 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $434 | Under $65 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | No $26K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.2K | Under $2.8K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.2K | Under $261 |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $272 | — | No $6.7K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $3.1K | Bills $1.2K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $417 | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $2.5K | Bills $282 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $629 | Cardinals $1.0K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $323 | — | No $516 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $93 | Bills $662 |