← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Loyalty-Crash | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (32–21, n=53) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (19 of 26 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 63 at avg 53¢, ROI +16% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 28% of 18) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 63% of 8) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 75% of 12) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 88% of 25) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Loyalty-Crash | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.7K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $694 | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | No $24K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $43K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | — | Yes $73K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.4K | — | Yes $2.2K | — |