Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (5380–4926, n=10306)47% (13855–15338, n=29193)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus83% (39 of 47 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position88% (130 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164———
Settled positions, side won54% of 10079 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1318)10% (won 57% of 2537)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3587)22% (won 94% of 5518)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3497)36% (won 99% of 8928)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1677)32% (won 100% of 7821)24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K——Yes $22K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8K——Yes $13K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13K——No $407K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1K——Yes $30K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K——Yes $22K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $811——Yes $15K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $383——Yes $2.6K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $96——Yes $1.3K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $78——Yes $230