← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Parz1vaI | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (2208–813, n=3021) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $779K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #393 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (41 of 49 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=126 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 3745 at avg 67¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 9% of 720) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 40% of 323) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 62% of 517) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 95% of 2185) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Parz1vaI | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $39K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13K | — | — | Yes $28K |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | — | — | Yes $967 |